Ocean freight rates rose sharply in Q2/2026, and for fresh fruit and vegetables, the real cost is not just the freight bill. According to data from the Vietnam Container Freight Index (VCFI) presented by Phaata at a seminar of the Vietnam Logistics Business Association (VLA) and the Vietnam Fruit and Vegetables Association (VINAFRUIT) on July 31, 2026, the average composite rate across 12 export route groups reached 2,667 USD/FEU, up 28.3% year-on-year. The average VCFI index reached 1,911 points, up 23.1%. Volatility was not limited to long-haul routes but also spread to intra-Asia routes.
For fresh fruit and vegetables, a shipment with a low rate but a long wait for a vessel, schedule changes, detention and demurrage charges, or extended reefer plug-in time can result in a much higher total cost than an option with a higher initial rate but a stable transit. The real cost also includes quality loss, reduced shelf life, lower selling prices, late delivery, the risk of contract penalties, and reputational damage with importers.
The problem is not the cheapest rate
All the presentations at the seminar pointed out that companies cannot continue to handle freight rate volatility on a shipment-by-shipment basis. Instead, they need to choose the option with the lowest total cost while still protecting quality, delivery time, and supply chain stability. Phaata proposed five coordination mechanisms between shippers and logistics companies: using a shared market picture with agreed warning thresholds; tiering volumes (base, flexible, tactical); comparing options by total cost; maintaining a 13-week rolling plan; and agreeing on common metrics for booking acceptance rate, schedule reliability, temperature deviation, and so on.
Bottlenecks before the container is packed
According to Mr. Nguyen Van Muoi, Deputy Secretary General of VINAFRUIT, costs accumulate from the raw material area, certification, harvesting, preliminary processing, preservation, transshipment, quarantine, to export. Vietnam's fruit and vegetable production remains small-scale, scattered, and lacks a stable linked chain. Post-harvest losses are a major cost item but are often not properly accounted for; VINAFRUIT estimates this rate at around 27% due to a lack of appropriate preservation processes and technology. Connectivity infrastructure in many raw material areas does not yet allow large containers to access directly, forcing goods to be transshipped by boat, canoe, or small truck, increasing handling costs and the risk of damage.
Mr. Nguyen Phi Khanh, General Director of Mass Worldwide Logistics (Vietnam) Ocean, said that fruit and vegetable export turnover in the first six months of 2026 reached about 3.7 billion USD, but the Chinese market still accounted for about 54%. About 85% of fruit and vegetables are still consumed fresh, and the deep processing rate is below 10%. High concentration in a few markets and key products increases risk when demand or import policies change.
The cold chain must start from the 'golden hour' after harvest
VINAFRUIT proposed bringing cold storage and cooling systems close to raw material areas to process products immediately after harvest. Ms. Dinh Thi Viet Chi, Deputy Director of Business Development at OPL Logistics Joint Stock Company, emphasized three factors: proactive early planning, technology-based cold chain control, and optimizing total cost rather than just comparing rates. Logistics needs to be involved from the export planning stage, not only when the goods are ready. The relationship between agricultural enterprises and logistics must shift from seasonal buying and selling to long-term cooperation, with transparency on production plans, shipping schedules, quality standards, and risk-sharing mechanisms.
Flat distribution: from central warehouse to point of sale
Mr. Nguyen Ha Anh, Operations Director of GHN Logistics Joint Stock Company, representing the Giao Hang Nang brand, pointed out a paradox: an e-commerce order worth 50,000 VND can be tracked at every stage and delivered within 24 hours, while a box of goods worth 5 million VND through the traditional distribution channel can take two weeks, passing through three intermediary layers. Vietnam has about 1.4 million grocery stores and about 12,000 modern retail outlets. The multi-tier 'pyramid' model causes overlapping discounts, scattered inventory, and fragmented data. Giao Hang Nang proposed a 'flattening' model: goods are consolidated at a central warehouse and delivered directly to points of sale, with small orders at high frequency, centralized inventory, and real-time data. Giao Hang Nang's system currently operates about one million delivery points per day, handling about 45,000 tons of goods per month. However, this solution focuses on B2B distribution and does not replace cold chain investment for fresh fruit and vegetables.
Reliable data is part of quality
Mr. Tran Chi Dung, a member of the VLA Standing Committee, argued that the new rules of the game ask whether data is reliable and verifiable. An exported container of fruit and vegetables can involve 30–40 types of documents and many confirming parties. He proposed a five-layer data architecture: digital identity, digital evidence, digital passport, trustworthy AI, and green trade. A digital passport for a shipment could include coordinates of the growing area, farming diary, quarantine results, reefer container temperature data, and emissions information. AI does not create trust by itself; if input data is inaccurate, the output is still wrong.
From local optimization to value resonance
The biggest weakness of the fruit and vegetable chain is not just high costs but a lack of linkage between stages. Exporters cannot simply demand low rates while not sharing production plans or standardizing upstream quality. Logistics companies need to enhance their advisory capacity, chain design, and data management. Saving costs at one link while increasing losses at another is just shifting costs. When raw material areas are standardized, the cold chain is continuous, transport options are chosen by total cost, distribution is shortened, and data is verifiable, logistics becomes a capability that helps Vietnamese fruit and vegetables preserve quality, expand markets, and raise profit margins.